Paddy's L&SC Area - 2011

Discussion in 'The Adjudicators' Comments' started by Paddy Flower, Oct 13, 2010.

  1. Paddy Flower

    Paddy Flower Active Member

    Like a bull in a china shop, Paddy's first call on the odds

    Championship Section
    Zone One - 11/8 fav
    Redbridge - 4/1
    Aveley & Newham - 5/1
    Friary Guildford - 13/2
    Norfolk - 9/1
    KM Medway - 14/1
    Wantage Silver 'A' - 18/1
    Clacton-on-Sea Co-operative - 22/1
    City of Cambridge - 50/1
    Milton Keynes - 66/1
    Sandhurst Silver - 66/1
    Regent - 100/1


    Yep, you heard it hear first, Paddy's expecting a new world order to establish itself here next March
     
  2. Paddy Flower

    Paddy Flower Active Member

    First Section
    Staines - 100/30 fav
    Kidlington Concert - 5/1
    East London - 11/2
    Haverhill Silver - 7/1
    Bedford Town - 8/1
    Ipswich & Norwich Co-op - 9/1
    Jersey Premier - 16/1
    Cawston - 18/1
    Soham Comrades - 20/1
    Welwyn Garden City - 22/1
    Alder Valley - 25/1
    Egham - 25/1
    Yiewsley & West Drayton - 33/1
    St. Albans City - 40/1
    Horsham Borough - 50/1
    Fairlop - 150/1
    Epsom & Ewell Silver - 150/1
     
  3. Paddy Flower

    Paddy Flower Active Member

    Second Section
    Becontree Brass - 5/2 fav
    Chichester City - 11/2
    Tilbury - 15/2
    Fulham - 8/1
    Littleport Brass - 9/1
    Betteshanger Welfare - 10/1
    Hungerford Town - 14/1
    Waterbeach Brass - 16/1
    Denham Hendon Brass - 22/1
    Ware Brass - 22/1
    Thundersley Brass - 25/1
    Northfleet Brass - 28/1
    Stantonbury Brass - 40/1
    Grimsdyke Brass - 40/1
    Colchester - 40/1
    St. Sebastian Wokingham - 40/1
    Chinnor Silver - 66/1
    Epping Forest - 100/1
    Stonesfield Silver (not entered since '08 )
     
  4. Paddy Flower

    Paddy Flower Active Member

    Third Section
    Hitchin Town - 100/30 fav
    Chalgrove - 9/2
    Wantage Silver 'B' - 11/2
    Battle Town - 11/2
    BAE Systems - 8/1
    Jubilee Brass (Oxford) - 14/1
    Hangleton - 16/1
    Hemel Hempstead - 20/1
    Brighton & Hove City - 22/1
    Watford - 25/1
    Tadley Concert - 28/1
    Norfolk Wherry - 33/1
    Cold Ash - 33/1
    Woodbridge Excelsior - 33/1
    Crystal Palace - 50/1
    Croydon - 50/1
     
  5. Paddy Flower

    Paddy Flower Active Member

    Fourth Section
    LGB - 5/2 fav
    Harwich RBL - 4/1
    Bletchington Silver - 13/2
    Bradwell Silver - 9/1
    EPB - 10/1
    Amersham - 12/1
    Royston - 14/1
    King's Lynn - 16/1
    Great Yarmouth - 18/1
    Snowdown Colliery Welfare - 22/1
    Hilgay Silver - 28/1
    MK Development - 40/1
    Letchworth Garden City - 40/1
    Cobham - 40/1
    Charles Church Camberley - 40/1
    Capital Concert Brass (not entered since '08 )
    Crystal Palace 'B' (not entered since '08 )
    Fakenham Town (not entered since '08 )
    Newmarket Town (not entered since '08 )
    Uckfield Concert Brass (not entered since '08 )

    Line-ups based on grading tables found at…
    http://www.regional-contest.org.uk/london/index.php?page=gradingd&year=2010&section=a
    A little bit of guess work as to how many have been prom/rel as tables don't show this, let me know if I've got any in the wrong section (I know you will)
     
  6. Super Ph

    Super Ph Member

    no chance - what makes you say that?
     
  7. Simon_Horn

    Simon_Horn Member

    Blimey, that's decent odds for Fulham's first go in the 2nd section! Cracking test piece ...we'll be ready!!

    PS Stonesfield is no longer
     
  8. Paddy Flower

    Paddy Flower Active Member

    Zone One, A credible 5th @ the Masters (Aveley 16th, Redbridge 18th) and 2nd @ The Senior Trophy before that

    Yes Redbridge were 4th @ The Grand Shield but there then followed a highly forgetable French Open and London last week, how 'unlucky' do you have be to be placed 17th?

    A&N would be the first to admit they've dropped off the radar a bit, OK a pleasing result last weekend but the Masters before that (16th) and 16th at The Senior Cup?? c'mon this is not the Aveley of old and they've still a little way to go for me. Having said that Nigel Taken is nothing if not unpredictable so they could walk it at Stevenage BUT they could just as easily be nowhere...
     
  9. Laserbeam bass

    Laserbeam bass Active Member

    Let's hope your tipping is not the same as 4BR's :confused:
     
  10. cornetcornetcornet

    cornetcornetcornet New Member

    The City of Oxford Silver Band now have a full band and are looking forward to playing in the 4th section.
     
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  12. Simon_Horn

    Simon_Horn Member

    Really? When was the last time Aveley came "nowhere" at the Areas? It would be a suprise if they were outside the top 2, outside top 3 would be a major upset, outside top 4 would be unthinkable!
     
  13. Robhibberd29

    Robhibberd29 Active Member

    Almost as good as Shirebrook's first go (Midlands area) :rolleyes:
     
  14. MoominDave

    MoominDave Well-Known Member

    The last time they were off the podium was in 1996. They've been even more consistent than Redbridge, who have won far more, but also had a couple of 4th places in that time.
     
  15. tubaloopy

    tubaloopy Member

    World's tallest dwarf..... :)
     
  16. Paddy Flower

    Paddy Flower Active Member

    I had a great long drawn out rant ready there, it took so long to type that I timed out and now i've lost it.

    Here's a summary. The big boys get bloodied noses at the areas sooner or later and when a band has had a distinctly forgetable year results wise it's never more likely.

    Paddy is not saying this is a two, three or even four horse race, try FIVE. Other than my top 3 (which still includes A&N btw) we have the newly crowned first section national champions, they are always going to be contenders unless they're in Yorks or North-West and frankly Norfolk Brass could well cause a few stunned gasps come results time.

    But perhaps the clincher is this, we have a band that goes to The Senior Cup as 100/30 favs, tipped by EVERYONE (with the exception of 4br) and then comes 16th and you're telling me it's 'unthinkable' that they might finish 4th out of five highly worthy contenders.

    This contest is not a sown-up cabal between two big beasts anymore
     
  17. Kjata

    Kjata Member

    Blackpool was a very bad day, I think the whole band that competed would admit that the performance was definitely not what it had been in the morning rehearsal!
    In reverse I came out of Kettering fairly pleased and the band was placed in the abyss....!

    DISCLAIMER ALERT!
    (obviously this is my view of how we played and may not be the view of Aveley and Newham as a band, I was a dep for those 2 contests)
     
    Last edited: Oct 15, 2010
  18. Kjata

    Kjata Member

    £20 on this be the top 2 come March!
    Come on Ipswich!! :clap:
     
  19. Ava Banana

    Ava Banana New Member

    £20 on Ipswich to even have a band come March! :eek:

    Yet A&N STILL beat Redbridge, as did Zone 1. Proves last weekends ordering of the London bands was no fluke.

    What price come March on the result as follows:

    1: A&N (Nigel Taken has a great record conducting Paganini.... and we're not talking the black circular variety!)
    2: Zone 1
    3: Redbridge
    4: Friary Guildford

    Section 1 could be a bloodbath on Carnival Romain!!!!
     
  20. Paddy Flower

    Paddy Flower Active Member

    How's 'Double Carpet' - 33/1 sound to ya

    Carnival in the first?, Yes... I fear many a bandsman will come un-stuck after seeing a pleasing number minims instead of semi-quavers "That'll sort 'em out" has already been said by the usual silver-surfer-seen-it-done-it type
     
  21. Paddy Flower

    Paddy Flower Active Member

    Oh dear..., a further glance at the record book reveals a 19th place from a 21 band field at the Masters on it in 2006

    ah well, if there's one crumb of comfort, Redbridge were last that day

    Perhaps some good examples of his 'great record conducting Paganini' (black circular variety or not) would be useful Ava?
     
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